Monday, March 03, 2014

I've seen this movie before...

Nikolai Kondratiev
One of my really deep personal interests is history... man I love history!

It's one of those things that I've always done good well in school and as a result I have incorporated that interest many, many, many times in my own artwork.

It is a nerdish thing I realize... to some anyway....  I read history as if they were novels, and of course...

You know where I'm going next: "He who does not learn from history is bound to repeat it" or something like that, goes the saying...

And is it me? ... or does the Russian invasion of the Ukraine seem a little familiar, from a historical perspective? Nikolai Kondratiev's famous "wave theory" (which is unfortunately usually just applied to economics, when it can actually be applied to almost anything such as art trends, history's cycles, etc.)... easily predicts what will happen next here... But first a little things that seems to have repeated itself rather recently...
  • We have a former European evil superpower that a handful of years ago was taken apart and embarrassed by the West. They've since re-invented themselves on a fervent nationalistic fever.
  • The Socialist dictator of that nation uses that embarrassment as a potent drive to not only stay in power (15 years so far), but also to convince the West that all is fine, while driving the flames of nationalism and craftily rearming and building its war machine.
  • He then "tests" the will of the West by annexing large chunks of its neighbor, as Russia did to Georgia in 2008. Lots of verbal threats from the West lead to nothing.
  • He then begins persecuting a segment of his nation's population... In Russia's case its gay citizens... And anyone who disagrees with Putin, and I would not be surprised if Jews are blamed next for something (or everything)... most probably the failure of the Russian economy, which will happen when the West imposes sanctions.
  • He then hosts an Olympic game... As a showcase of national pride.
  • He then invades yet another neighboring country under the pretext of protecting ethnic Russian citizens within its borders. 
Now... I expect that the West will react by trying to appease Putin, and someone will have to play the part of Neville Chamberlain in order for this unbelievable performance to reach its inevitable conclusion.

We've seen this movie and some of us know how it ends... Kondratiev must be laughing somewhere and Poland is getting a little nervous while France is probably already drafting a surrender treaty... cough, cough.. I was only serious.

Get ready to batten down the hatches!


John said...

It's one of those things that I've always done WELL in school.....not GOOD in school. Should have spent a little more time in English class.

Lenny said...

Thank you for your note and also for the correction.

And I would submit that perhaps you should have spent a little more time in the playground in Kindergarden learning a few acceptable social manners and ways to communicate in a civil manner with someone when you are correcting them.

I'm not sure what caused you to be so snarky, but I'd recommend that being nice seldom hurts.



john said...

I'm sorry. I really thought you would have read it as a friendly tweak. This might have something to do with why I was fired from my last job as a customer relations representative.

Please accept my apologies.

Lenny said...

No probs... Now I get it! Hopefully you've found a better job... when one door closes, etc.