Before you read my prediction for tomorrow's election, read this 2005 post, where I warned the Democratic Party of the reasoning that I am about to use for the prediction.
This is part of what I wrote almost 20 years ago:
Talking about Mexico and Mexicans... it baffles me that the egg heads in the Democrat Party cannot foresee what every contemporary Latino/Hispanic knows in his or her heart: One day, not too far in the future, as the Hispanic population in the US continues to grow, and because we are so diverse in thought, culture and perspectives, that one day, a decade or two from now, when Latino numbers make Latinos the largest ethnic minority in the US... the DNC will be shocked to "discover" that Latinos will not be obedient voters for the Democrat ticket only, and Latino/a politicians will run and win under the Republican party, and large percentages of the Latino vote will go to the right.
About tomorrow's election - I will predict that Trump will win, and his victory will be in large part due to the Hispanic vote. If this doesn't make sense to you, then read the 2005 post again!
What are we going to see?
Florida has a HUGE Hispanic population - everyone knows Cuban-Americans vote in the high 90s for Republicans, and yet Miami's Dade County has been reliably Democratic for decades; Hillary Clinton won the county with 63% of the vote in 2016, and President Biden won it with 53% in 2020 - that was a warning signal to the Dems that they failed to heed. I predict that Trump will not only win Dade (and Florida), but also win it easily - around 51 - 55% of the vote.
It will be interesting to see what happens in Osceola County in Florida, as that county has a huge Puerto Rican population. If Trump wins that county, it's another nail in the coffin, a really nasty one, in view of comedian Tony Hinchcliffe stupid jokes at the Madison Square Garden rally held by the Trump campaign.
Texas also has a substantial Mexican-American population, and we're told that the pollsters are seeing a substantial move of the usually reliable Democrat voters towards the GOP. If they're right in Texas, then think all those Southwestern states and Harris is cooked.
Biden won Latino males by a 23 points (59%-36%) in the 2020 elections. I predict that El Trumpo will not only reverse that, but get between 50-55% of the Latino male vote.
Latina women are a different story, but still a problem for Harris. Biden won Latina women votes by 39 points in 2020! Tall order for Harris (in my opinion). She will still win with Latina women, but will most likely underperform Biden, and win Latina women's vote by 20-25%, thus giving El Trumpo 14-19% more votes from Latinas; it adds up!
Bottom line: If you are one of those doomsayers who has been brainwashed by the press about the world ending if Trump wins, blame it on Latinos/Latinas/Hispanics.
Lo que no mata, engorda.
